From: Bayesian Models for Astrophysical Data, Cambridge Univ. Press

(c) 2017,  Joseph M. Hilbe, Rafael S. de Souza and Emille E. O. Ishida  

 

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Code 5.28 Binomial model in Python using Stan

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import numpy as np
import statsmodels.api as sm
import pystan

from scipy.stats import uniform, poisson,  binom

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# Data
np.random.seed(33559)                                       # set seed to replicate example
nobs= 2000                                                          # number of obs in model

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m = 1 + poisson.rvs(5, size=nobs)
x1 = uniform.rvs(size=nobs)                               # random uniform variable
x2 = uniform.rvs(size=nobs)

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beta0 = -2.0
beta1 = -1.5
beta2 = 3.0

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xb = beta0 + beta1 * x1 + beta2 * x2
exb = np.exp(xb)
p = exb / (1 + exb)
y = binom.rvs(m, p)                                            # create y as adjusted

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mydata = {}
mydata['K'] = 3
mydata['X'] = sm.add_constant(np.column_stack((x1,x2)))
mydata['N'] = nobs
mydata['Y'] = y
mydata['m'] = m

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# Fit
stan_code = """
data{
    int<lower=0> N;
    int<lower=0> K;
    matrix[N, K] X;
    int Y[N];
    int m[N];
}
parameters{
    vector[K] beta;
}
transformed parameters{
    vector[N] eta;
    vector[N] p;

    eta = X * beta;

    for (i in 1:N) p[i] = inv_logit(eta[i]);
}
model{
    Y ~ binomial(m, p);
}
"""

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fit = pystan.stan(model_code=stan_code, data=mydata, iter=5000, chains=3,
                           warmup=3000, n_jobs=3)

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# Output
nlines = 8

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output = str(fit).split('\n')
for item in output[:nlines]:
    print(item)

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